· Analysis updated 09:56 UTC
Amical Saint-Prex vs Grasshopper II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.01 expected goals for Amical Saint-Prex and 1.19 for Grasshopper II, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Amical Saint-Prex the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Amical Saint-Prex win
56.2% probability
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Amical Saint-Prex home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grasshopper II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Amical Saint-Prex to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.01 goals for Amical Saint-Prex and 1.19 for Grasshopper II, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Amical Saint-Prex
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Biel-Bienne · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Luzern II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lugano II · 1-0 (W)
Grasshopper II
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-06-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Play-offs table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amical Saint-Prex | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Langenthal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | YF Juventus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Servette II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 5 | Courtételle | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Grasshopper II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Taverne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Tuggen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Amical Saint-Prex win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.