· Analysis updated 23:49 UTC
Anagennisi Artas vs Veria Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Anagennisi Artas and 1.18 for Veria, a combined total of 2.29. That distribution gives Veria the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Veria away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Veria to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 34% / 28% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Anagennisi Artas and 1.18 for Veria, a combined 2.29 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.9%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–27.8%
Recent form
Anagennisi Artas
Veria
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PAS Giannina · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandros Florinas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vatolakkos · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pierikos · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makedonikos Siatista | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Veria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Anagennisi Artas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Eordaikos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Alexandros Florinas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Doxa Mascholouriou | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastoria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Naousa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | PAS Giannina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Thyella Katsikas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Vatolakkos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.