Greece · Super League 2 · Promotion Group - 113:00

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Saturday, 14 February 2026

Niki VolosDWLLL

· Analysis updated 13:15 UTC

Anagennisi Karditsas vs Niki Volos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Anagennisi Karditsas and 1.20 for Niki Volos, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Niki Volos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Niki Volos win

45.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.82 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anagennisi Karditsas home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Niki Volos away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Niki Volos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 25% / 30% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.82 goals for Anagennisi Karditsas and 1.20 for Niki Volos, a combined 2.03 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Anagennisi Karditsas win25%
Draw30%
Niki Volos win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–115.9%
  • 0–013.2%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–29.6%

Recent form

Anagennisi Karditsas

  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ellas Syros · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Larisa · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Aris Thessalonikis · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iraklis 1908 · 1-3 (L)

Niki Volos

  • 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ellas Syros · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Larisa · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Asteras Tripolis · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Marko5500615
2Larisa5320611
3Panionios5311210
4Ellas Syros523069
5Kallithea430139
6Panthrakikos522128
7Panserraikos521227
8Asteras Tripolis II5203-26
9Apollon Pontou5122-15
10PAOK II5122-25
11Pyrgos 19685122-35
12Niki Volos5113-14
13Nestos Chrisoupolis5113-34
14Olympiakos Piraeus II4112-44
15Zakynthos5023-52
16Anagennisi Karditsas5023-62

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Niki Volos win, at 45.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.