Anderlecht vs Genk Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Anderlecht and 1.52 for Genk, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Anderlecht the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Anderlecht to Win

49.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.05 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht win50%

Draw21%

Genk win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.0%
1–18.8%
2–26.8%
1–26.7%
3–16.1%

Why the model likes this

Anderlecht home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anderlecht to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Anderlecht and 1.52 for Genk, a combined 3.57 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Anderlecht

2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby FF · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby FF · 1-1 (D)

Genk

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Jupiler Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	2	2	0	0	6	6
2	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4	4
4	Zulte Waregem	2	1	1	0	1	4
5	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	2	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	1	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	0	3
9	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	0	2
10	St. Truiden	2	0	2	0	0	2
11	Standard Liege	1	0	1	0	0	1
12	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	0	1
13	SK Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	RAAL La Louvière	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	KV Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	KVC Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	OH Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.