Belgium · Super League Women · Winners Stage18:30
Anderlecht WWWLWW

1 – 1

Friday, 22 May 2026

· Analysis updated 17:41 UTC

Anderlecht W vs Club Brugge W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for Anderlecht W and 1.20 for Club Brugge W, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Anderlecht W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Anderlecht W win

50.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anderlecht W home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Club Brugge W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anderlecht W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.77 goals for Anderlecht W and 1.20 for Club Brugge W, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht W win51%
Draw23%
Club Brugge W win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–26.5%

Recent form

Anderlecht W

  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 4-0 (W)

Club Brugge W

  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Anderlecht W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Anderlecht W win, at 50.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.