Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 411:30
Anderlecht WWWLWW

2 – 0

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Anderlecht W vs RAAL La Louviere W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Anderlecht W and 0.72 for RAAL La Louviere W, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Anderlecht W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Anderlecht W win

68.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.02 – 0.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anderlecht W home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anderlecht W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 20% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.02 goals for Anderlecht W and 0.72 for RAAL La Louviere W, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 44%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht W win68%
Draw20%
RAAL La Louviere W win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 2–013.2%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 3–08.9%

Recent form

Anderlecht W

  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 4-0 (W)

RAAL La Louviere W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Anderlecht W76011418
    2Club Brugge W75201117
    3OH Leuven W73311212
    4Genk W7322011
    5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
    6Standard Liege W7304-89
    7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
    8Gent W7007-200

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Anderlecht W win, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.