Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 317:00
Anderlecht WWWLWW

2 – 0

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 15:43 UTC

Anderlecht W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.04 expected goals for Anderlecht W and 0.77 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 3.81. That distribution gives Anderlecht W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Anderlecht W win

82.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.04 – 0.77

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anderlecht W home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zulte-Waregem W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anderlecht W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 11% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.04 goals for Anderlecht W and 0.77 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined 3.81 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht W win82%
Draw11%
Zulte-Waregem W win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

18%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 3–010.4%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 4–07.9%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

Anderlecht W

  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 4-0 (W)

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Anderlecht W win, at 82.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.