· Analysis updated 05:26 UTC
Andernach W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Andernach W and 1.85 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Carl Zeiss Jena W win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Andernach W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Carl Zeiss Jena W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 24% / 23% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Andernach W and 1.85 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.3%
- 2–16.2%
Recent form
Andernach W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Koln II W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum W · 0-6 (L)
Carl Zeiss Jena W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eutingen W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2024-03-10T10:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2023-09-03T09:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena W win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.