Andernach W vs Hoffenheim II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Andernach W and 0.80 for Hoffenheim II W, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Andernach W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Andernach W win

70.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Andernach W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hoffenheim II W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Andernach W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 18% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Andernach W and 0.80 for Hoffenheim II W, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Andernach W win70%

Draw18%

Hoffenheim II W win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

2–012.0%
1–010.7%
2–19.6%
3–09.0%
1–18.5%

Recent form

Andernach W

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Koln II W · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg W · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum W · 0-6 (L)

Hoffenheim II W

2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
2024-05-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 2-1 Hoffenheim II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2024-04-28T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 0-0 Hoffenheim II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2023-11-05T13:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 2-0 Hoffenheim II W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Viktoria Berlin W	10	9	0	1	12	27
2	SGS Essen W	10	7	2	1	21	23
3	Hertha Berlin W	10	7	2	1	7	23
4	Bochum W	10	6	2	2	14	20
5	Meppen W	10	4	4	2	7	16
6	Ingolstadt W	10	4	3	3	3	15
7	Carl Zeiss Jena W	10	4	1	5	1	13
8	Borussia Monchengladbach W	10	4	1	5	-1	13
9	Andernach W	10	4	1	5	-9	13
10	SC Sand W	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	10	3	1	6	-12	10
12	Hoffenheim II W	10	1	2	7	-10	5
13	Turbine Potsdam W	10	1	2	7	-15	5
14	FC Koln II W	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Andernach W win, at 70.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.