Stadion am Bassenheimer Weg · Analysis updated 09:05 UTC
Andernach W vs Meppen W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.19 expected goals for Andernach W and 1.96 for Meppen W, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Meppen W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Meppen W win
55.3% probability
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Andernach W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Meppen W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Andernach W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Koln II W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-1 (W)
Meppen W
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGS Essen W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Berlin W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 1-2 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 0-4 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2025-10-19T12:10:00.000Z · Andernach W 2-1 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2025-03-23T10:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 1-4 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2024-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 0-0 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2024-03-03T10:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 1-0 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
- 2023-08-27T12:00:00.000Z · Andernach W 0-2 Meppen W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Meppen W win, at 55.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.