Andijan vs Kokand-1912 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Andijan and 1.03 for Kokand-1912, a combined total of 1.98. That distribution gives Kokand-1912 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Andijan home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kokand-1912 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Andijan win33%

Draw31%

Kokand-1912 win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score39%

Correct score

0–114.2%
0–013.9%
1–113.5%
1–013.2%
0–27.3%

Recent form

Andijan

2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Qizilqum · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Buxoro · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Nasaf · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpik-Mobiuz · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kokand-1912 · 2-1 (W)

Kokand-1912

2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Olmaliq · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Neftchi · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-09T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Mash'al · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Surkhon · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gazalkent · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · Andijan 2-1 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2026-04-19T13:15:00.000Z · Andijan 0-0 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2025-08-03T14:00:00.000Z · Andijan 3-0 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2025-03-08T14:30:00.000Z · Andijan 1-1 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2021-09-25T11:00:00.000Z · Andijan 1-1 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2021-05-05T12:00:00.000Z · Andijan 1-2 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2020-11-29T09:00:00.000Z · Andijan 0-1 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2020-08-24T13:30:00.000Z · Andijan 1-2 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2019-11-27T11:00:00.000Z · Andijan 1-1 Kokand-1912 (Super League)
2019-03-31T13:15:00.000Z · Andijan 0-0 Kokand-1912 (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	25	18	4	3	37	58
2	Pakhtakor	25	15	8	2	19	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	18	46
4	Olmaliq	25	12	6	7	4	42
5	Nasaf	25	11	8	6	14	41
6	Buxoro	25	12	5	8	5	41
7	Lokomotiv	25	11	7	7	9	40
8	Qizilqum	25	10	4	11	-6	34
9	Andijan	25	9	4	12	-3	31
10	Dinamo Samarqand	25	8	7	10	-3	31
11	Sogdiana	25	8	5	12	-7	29
12	Surkhon	25	7	8	10	-9	29
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	-15	26
14	Kokand-1912	25	5	8	12	-11	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	-14	23
16	Mash'al	25	1	1	23	-38	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.