· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC
Andrézieux vs Grenoble Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Andrézieux and 2.63 for Grenoble, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Grenoble the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Grenoble win
69.9% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Andrézieux home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grenoble away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Grenoble to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 14% / 16% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Andrézieux and 2.63 for Grenoble, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
30%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–37.3%
- 1–17.0%
Recent form
Andrézieux
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Troyes II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyon Duchere · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fréjus St-Raphaël · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Canet Roussillon · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bourges Foot 18 · 1-1 (D)
Grenoble
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodez · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Annecy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Laval · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-01T17:45:00.000Z · Andrézieux 3-2 Grenoble (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2021-11-27T16:00:00.000Z · Andrézieux 3-0 Grenoble (Coupe de France)
- 2017-04-08T16:00:00.000Z · Andrézieux 0-3 Grenoble (National 2 - Group C)
- 2016-11-19T16:00:00.000Z · Andrézieux 1-0 Grenoble (National 2 - Group C)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Grenoble win, at 69.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.