Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand - 2113:00
AngbyLLWWL

5 – 1

Sunday, 13 September 2026

FrankeWWWWL

· Analysis updated 14:41 UTC

Angby vs Franke Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Angby and 1.15 for Franke, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Angby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Angby win

52.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Angby home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Franke away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Angby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Angby and 1.15 for Franke, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Angby win53%
Draw23%
Franke win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.2%

Recent form

Angby

  • 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Korsnäs · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sunnersta · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kungsängen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Gute · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lidingö · 3-2 (W)

Franke

  • 2026-10-17T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Lidingö · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Helges · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Korsnäs · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kungsängen · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sunnersta · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Norra Svealand table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skiljebo2618533459
2Enskede2617451955
3Sunnersta2616644354
4Angby2615652551
5Falu BS261358844
6Täby2612681642
7Franke2611411437
8Gute269611033
9Bollstanäs268711-431
10Kungsängen2651110-926
11Viggbyholms IK267415-2325
12Lidingö266515-2723
13Korsnäs264517-3617
14Helges262420-5010

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Angby win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.