· Analysis updated 05:25 UTC
Angelholms FF vs Eskilsminne Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Angelholms FF and 1.95 for Eskilsminne, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Eskilsminne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eskilsminne win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Angelholms FF home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eskilsminne away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.2%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–16.6%
Recent form
Angelholms FF
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Laholm · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Utsikten · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilsminne · 2-2 (D)
Eskilsminne
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lund · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonkopings Sodra · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2026-05-01T11:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 6-0 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-5 Eskilsminne (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-10-26T15:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2025-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 6-1 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2024-11-10T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-5 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2024-06-29T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2023-08-10T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 1-1 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2023-06-05T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 0-4 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
- 2021-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 1-1 Eskilsminne (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
Ettan - Södra table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Lund | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Atvidabergs FF | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Jonkopings Sodra | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Trollhättan | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Tvååker | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Olympic | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Skövde AIK | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Kristianstad | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Eskilsminne | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Laholm | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Angelholms FF | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | -45 | 12 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eskilsminne win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.