Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Södra - 2317:00

2 – 2

Monday, 21 September 2026

EskilsminneLDLWL

· Analysis updated 05:25 UTC

Angelholms FF vs Eskilsminne Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Angelholms FF and 1.95 for Eskilsminne, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Eskilsminne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eskilsminne win

51.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Angelholms FF home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eskilsminne away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Angelholms FF win27%
Draw22%
Eskilsminne win52%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 2–16.6%

Recent form

Angelholms FF

  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Laholm · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Utsikten · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilsminne · 2-2 (D)

Eskilsminne

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lund · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonkopings Sodra · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2026-05-01T11:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 6-0 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-5 Eskilsminne (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2025-10-26T15:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2025-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 6-1 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2024-11-10T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-5 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2024-06-29T14:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 2-2 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2023-08-10T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 1-1 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2023-06-05T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 0-4 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
  • 2021-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · Angelholms FF 1-1 Eskilsminne (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg2819633363
2Hässleholms IF2816481852
3Lund2813871947
4Atvidabergs FF2813871147
5AFC Malmo2812881044
6Rosengård2810108340
7Jonkopings Sodra2811611539
8Trollhättan2810810038
9Tvååker2810810-338
10Olympic2811314-336
11Skövde AIK288119-935
12Kristianstad289613-733
13Eskilsminne289613-1233
14Laholm289514-632
15Angelholms FF286913-1427
16Utsikten282620-4512

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eskilsminne win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.