Congo-DR · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2814:00

1 – 1

Thursday, 19 March 2026

· Analysis updated 22:31 UTC

Anges Verts vs Renaissance Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Anges Verts vs Renaissance in the Ligue 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anges Verts home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anges Verts to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Anges Verts and 1.18 for Renaissance, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Anges Verts or Renaissance yet, so these numbers are a Ligue 1 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Anges Verts win44%
Draw26%
Renaissance win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Anges Verts

  • 2026-10-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs New Jack · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs New Jack · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motema Pembe · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs JSK · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Mk de Kinshasa · 3-0 (W)

Renaissance

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Simba110023
    1Anges Verts110023
    2Tanganyika110013
    2Étoile du Congo110013
    3Don Bosco101001
    3JSK210103
    4Malole101001
    4FC Mk de Kinshasa101001
    5Saint Eloi Lupopo101001
    5Céleste101001
    6Sanga Balende101001
    6Dauphins Noirs101001
    7AS New Soger101001
    7Rangers101001
    8CS Manika101001
    8Etoile de Kivu101001
    9TP Mazembe000000
    9New Jack2011-21
    10Lubumbashi Sport000000
    10Vita Club000000
    11Butras000000
    11Maniema Union000000
    12Blessing1001-10
    12FC Renaissance000000
    13Saint-Luc1001-20
    13Novakin1001-10

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.