· Analysis updated 10:07 UTC
Anges Verts vs Vita Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Anges Verts and 0.95 for Vita Club, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Anges Verts the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72.7% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Anges Verts home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vita Club away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anges Verts to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Anges Verts and 0.95 for Vita Club, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–08.9%
Recent form
Anges Verts
- 2026-10-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs New Jack · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs New Jack · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motema Pembe · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs JSK · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Mk de Kinshasa · 3-0 (W)
Vita Club
- 2026-06-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Saint Eloi Lupopo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Simba · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Don Bosco · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Maniema Union · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs JSK · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Anges Verts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Tanganyika | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Étoile du Congo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | JSK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Malole | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Céleste | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Saint Eloi Lupopo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Mk de Kinshasa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sanga Balende | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dauphins Noirs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | AS New Soger | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CS Manika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Etoile de Kivu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | TP Mazembe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Renaissance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Lubumbashi Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | New Jack | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Butras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Vita Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Blessing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Maniema Union | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Saint-Luc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Novakin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.