Brazil · Cearense U20 · Matchweek 418:00

3 – 2

Saturday, 23 May 2026

· Analysis updated 08:51 UTC

Anjos do Céu U20 vs Juazeiro EC U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.79 expected goals for Anjos do Céu U20 and 1.35 for Juazeiro EC U20, a combined total of 4.14. That distribution gives Anjos do Céu U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Anjos do Céu U20 win

67.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.79 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Juazeiro EC U20 away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anjos do Céu U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 16% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.79 goals for Anjos do Céu U20 and 1.35 for Juazeiro EC U20, a combined 4.14 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Anjos do Céu U20 win68%
Draw16%
Juazeiro EC U20 win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 2–18.4%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–06.2%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 3–05.8%

Recent form

Anjos do Céu U20

    Juazeiro EC U20

    • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiangua CE U20 · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-07-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ceará U20 · 0-10 (L)
    • 2026-06-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Horizonte U20 · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Vila Real FC U20 · 0-5 (L)
    • 2026-05-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Anjos do Céu U20 · 2-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Cearense U20 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Anjos do Céu U20 win, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.