· Analysis updated 10:17 UTC
Anker Wismar vs Hansa Rostock Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Anker Wismar and 3.75 for Hansa Rostock, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Hansa Rostock the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hansa Rostock win
85.4% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 3.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Anker Wismar home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hansa Rostock away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hansa Rostock to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 6% / 9% / 85% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Anker Wismar and 3.75 for Hansa Rostock, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
15%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–37.6%
- 1–37.6%
- 0–47.1%
- 1–47.1%
- 0–26.1%
Recent form
Anker Wismar
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)
Hansa Rostock
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Essen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Viktoria Köln · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Wehen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T11:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Saarbrücken · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hansa Rostock win, at 85.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.