Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 616:30
Anker WismarLDWLW

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Friday, 25 September 2026

· Analysis updated 18:26 UTC

Anker Wismar vs Hansa Rostock II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Anker Wismar and 0.92 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Anker Wismar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Anker Wismar win

50.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anker Wismar home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hansa Rostock II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Anker Wismar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 26% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Anker Wismar and 0.92 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Anker Wismar win51%
Draw26%
Hansa Rostock II win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.8%

Recent form

Anker Wismar

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)

Hansa Rostock II

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Anker Wismar win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.