Anker Wismar vs Hertha Zehlendorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Anker Wismar and 1.78 for Hertha Zehlendorf, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Hertha Zehlendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hertha Zehlendorf win

53.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Anker Wismar home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha Zehlendorf away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha Zehlendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 23% / 23% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Anker Wismar and 1.78 for Hertha Zehlendorf, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Anker Wismar win23%

Draw23%

Hertha Zehlendorf win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.0%
0–19.9%
1–29.8%
0–28.9%
1–06.2%

Recent form

Anker Wismar

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-5 (L)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)

Hertha Zehlendorf

2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	6	1	2	6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	5	2	2	4	17
3	BAK '07	9	4	4	1	3	16
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	5	0	4	8	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	4	2	3	5	14
6	Lichtenberg	9	4	2	3	2	14
7	Hansa Rostock II	9	3	4	2	8	13
8	Optik Rathenow	9	4	1	4	3	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	3	3	3	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	FC Lok Stendal	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Union Klosterfelde	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Makkabi	9	2	2	5	-12	8
16	Neustrelitz	8	2	0	6	-6	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hertha Zehlendorf win, at 53.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.