Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 812:00
Anker WismarLDWLW

0 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 16:44 UTC

Anker Wismar vs Siedenbollentin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Anker Wismar and 1.47 for Siedenbollentin, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Siedenbollentin win

47.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Anker Wismar home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Siedenbollentin away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 27% / 26% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for Anker Wismar and 1.47 for Siedenbollentin, a combined 2.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Anker Wismar win27%
Draw26%
Siedenbollentin win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–28.9%
  • 1–08.5%

Recent form

Anker Wismar

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)

Siedenbollentin

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.