· Analysis updated 09:03 UTC
Annecy vs Servette FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Annecy and 1.80 for Servette FC, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Servette FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Servette FC win
58.0% probability
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Annecy home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Servette FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Servette FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 19% / 23% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Annecy and 1.80 for Servette FC, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.8%
- 1–110.9%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.6%
Recent form
Annecy
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Nancy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunkerque · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dijon · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Guingamp · 1-2 (L)
Servette FC
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Sion · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Annecy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BSC Young Boys · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Thun · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · Annecy 2-1 Servette FC (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-12-21T13:30:00.000Z · Annecy 2-4 Servette FC (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-07-05T15:00:00.000Z · Annecy 1-0 Servette FC (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-07-05T15:00:00.000Z · Annecy 1-0 Servette FC (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Servette FC win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.