· Analysis updated 14:49 UTC
Anthoupoli vs Feraios Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Anthoupoli and 0.63 for Feraios, a combined total of 2.14. That distribution gives Anthoupoli the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Anthoupoli win
58.3% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anthoupoli to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 26% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Anthoupoli and 0.63 for Feraios, a combined 2.14 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% and both teams to score at 37%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 58% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.7%
- 2–013.3%
- 0–011.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.4%
Recent form
Anthoupoli
Feraios
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trikala · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Anthoupoli win, at 58.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.