· Referee J. Valenzuela · Analysis updated 04:26 UTC
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Anzoátegui FC and 1.68 for Carabobo FC, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Carabobo FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Carabobo FC win
56.3% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Anzoátegui FC home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Carabobo FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Carabobo FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 20% / 24% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Anzoátegui FC and 1.68 for Carabobo FC, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.1%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–211.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.8%
Recent form
Anzoátegui FC
- 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Carabobo FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Caracas FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T23:30:00.000Z · A vs UCV · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Metropolitanos FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Petare FC · 2-1 (W)
Carabobo FC
- 2026-09-19T20:00:00.000Z · A vs UCV · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo La Guaira · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Puerto Cabello · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes de Merida FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Rayo Zuliano · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera División table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Carabobo FC win, at 56.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.