· Analysis updated 13:47 UTC
Apollon Pontou vs Anagennisi Karditsas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.94 expected goals for Apollon Pontou and 0.82 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined total of 1.77. That distribution gives Apollon Pontou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.0% probability
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Apollon Pontou home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Anagennisi Karditsas away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Apollon Pontou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 33% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.94 goals for Apollon Pontou and 0.82 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined 1.77 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–017.1%
- 1–016.1%
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.3%
- 2–07.6%
Recent form
Apollon Pontou
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthrakikos · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Elassona · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 0-2 (L)
Anagennisi Karditsas
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyrgos 1968 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zakynthos · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Tripolis II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Pontou · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Panionios | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Larisa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Ellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Panthrakikos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Apollon Pontou | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | PAOK II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.