Estadio Ameliano · Referee D. Ojeda · Analysis updated 02:14 UTC
Argentina U17 vs Brazil U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Argentina U17 and 2.29 for Brazil U17, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Brazil U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brazil U17 win
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 2.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brazil U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 19% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Argentina U17 and 2.29 for Brazil U17, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 63% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.4%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–37.4%
- 0–17.2%
Recent form
Argentina U17
Brazil U17
- 2026-08-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Venezuela U17 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-10T23:00:00.000Z · H vs United States U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs United States U17 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-19T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Ecuador U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombia U17 · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
CONMEBOL - U17 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ecuador U17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Colombia U17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Uruguay U17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Chile U17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Paraguay U17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 1 | Brazil U17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Argentina U17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivia U17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Venezuela U17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Peru U17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brazil U17 win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.