Diego Armando Maradona · Referee Pablo Dovalo · Analysis updated 00:08 UTC
Argentinos JRS vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Argentinos JRS and 0.68 for Huracan, a combined total of 1.80. That distribution gives Argentinos JRS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Argentinos JRS win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.12 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Argentinos JRS home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
68%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.5%
- 0–016.5%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–010.4%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 9.5%), compared with our model probability.
Best value: Both teams to score — No at 1.62 (model 66.8% vs market 57.6%, edge +9.2 pts).
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | NoValue | 1.62 | 57.6% | 66.8% | 1.50 | +9.2 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 1.22 | 76.9% | 77.7% | 1.29 | +0.8 |
| Match result | Home | 2.00 | 45.7% | 46.0% | 2.17 | +0.3 |
| Match result | Draw | 2.90 | 31.5% | 31.7% | 3.15 | +0.2 |
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 1.73 | 54.2% | 53.9% | 1.86 | -0.3 |
| Match result | Away | 4.00 | 22.8% | 22.2% | 4.50 | -0.6 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.36 | 68.9% | 68.2% | 1.47 | -0.7 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 2.20 | 42.4% | 33.2% | 3.01 | -9.2 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
Argentinos JRS
- 2026-11-03T00:15:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Tucuman · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-27T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Independ. Rivadavia · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Banfield · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Platense · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Tigre · 2-1 (W)
Huracan
- 2026-10-30T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigre · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-15T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia L.P. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-13T00:30:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2026-04-28T00:00:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 2-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-08-16T19:15:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 0-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-02-12T23:00:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2024-08-24T18:00:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 0-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2024-08-14T22:00:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-1 Huracan (Copa Argentina)
- 2024-03-10T20:00:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-1 Huracan (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
- 2023-10-25T00:30:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-2 Huracan (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
- 2023-04-16T00:30:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 0-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2022-10-10T19:30:00.000Z · Argentinos JRS 1-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Argentinos JRS win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.