Stadionul Orasenesc · Referee Andrei Moroita, Romania · Analysis updated 21:47 UTC
Arges Pitesti vs Csikszereda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Arges Pitesti and 0.69 for Csikszereda, a combined total of 1.92. That distribution gives Arges Pitesti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Arges Pitesti win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Arges Pitesti home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Csikszereda away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.1%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–112.4%
- 2–011.2%
- 0–110.0%
Recent form
Arges Pitesti
- 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-30T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Voluntari · 0-1 (L)
Csikszereda
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucuresti · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Uta Arad · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 1-0 Csikszereda (Liga I)
- 2025-12-06T15:00:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 2-0 Csikszereda (Liga I)
- 2025-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 3-1 Csikszereda (Liga I)
- 2025-05-18T09:00:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 4-0 Csikszereda (Liga II)
- 2025-04-19T09:30:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 3-0 Csikszereda (Liga II)
- 2024-08-26T14:00:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 0-1 Csikszereda (Liga II)
- 2024-02-26T15:00:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 1-2 Csikszereda (Liga II)
- 2019-11-23T09:00:00.000Z · Arges Pitesti 0-0 Csikszereda (Liga II)
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Uta Arad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Arges Pitesti win, at 49.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.