Aritma Praha - Artifical Grass · Analysis updated 14:04 UTC
Aritma Praha vs Povltava FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Aritma Praha and 1.28 for Povltava FA, a combined total of 3.12. That distribution gives Aritma Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Aritma Praha win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aritma Praha home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aritma Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Aritma Praha and 1.28 for Povltava FA, a combined 3.12 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.6%
Recent form
Aritma Praha
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia III · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 0-4 (L)
Povltava FA
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Jiskra Domažlice | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Loko Vltavín | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Písek | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Admira Praha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Aritma Praha | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -14 | 8 |
| 14 | Dukla Praha II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Benešov | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Aritma Praha win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.