· Analysis updated 02:51 UTC
Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Havelse U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Arminia Bielefeld U19 and 0.75 for Havelse U19, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Arminia Bielefeld U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Arminia Bielefeld U19 win
78.1% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Arminia Bielefeld U19 home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Havelse U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arminia Bielefeld U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Arminia Bielefeld U19 and 0.75 for Havelse U19, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
22%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.6%
- 3–010.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.8%
Recent form
Arminia Bielefeld U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Preußen Münster U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Havelse U19 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lübeck U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 3-0 (W)
Havelse U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Arminia Bielefeld U19 win, at 78.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.