· Analysis updated 03:56 UTC
Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Arminia Bielefeld U19 and 1.50 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Arminia Bielefeld U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Arminia Bielefeld U19 win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Arminia Bielefeld U19 home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arminia Bielefeld U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Arminia Bielefeld U19 and 1.50 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Arminia Bielefeld U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Preußen Münster U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Havelse U19 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lübeck U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 3-0 (W)
Preußen Münster U19
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Arminia Bielefeld U19 win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.