· Analysis updated 09:21 UTC
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.51 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Arminia Bielefeld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Arminia Bielefeld win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.51
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Arminia Bielefeld home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Braunschweig away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arminia Bielefeld to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.51 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.8%
- 3–16.1%
Recent form
Arminia Bielefeld
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Essen · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Heidenheim · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Darmstadt 98 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC St. Pauli · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 1-4 (L)
Eintracht Braunschweig
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | VfL Bochum | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Arminia Bielefeld win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.