Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 1.30 for Aliağa FAŞ, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Arnavutköy Belediyespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win

46.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win46%

Draw24%

Aliağa FAŞ win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.1%
2–19.3%
1–08.6%
1–27.2%
2–07.2%

Why the model likes this

Arnavutköy Belediyespor home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Aliağa FAŞ away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arnavutköy Belediyespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 1.30 for Aliağa FAŞ, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 2-0 (W)
2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Muş Sport Klübü · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu · 3-0 (W)
2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1461 Trabzon FK · 1-0 (W)

Aliağa FAŞ

2026-05-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Muş Sport Klübü · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muş Sport Klübü · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursaspor · 0-5 (L)
2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 5-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Adana Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Elazığspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ankaraspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Şanlıurfaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kastamonuspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Menemen FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Çorluspor 1947	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Erbaaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Muş Sport Klübü	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Isparta 32 Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Güzide Gebzespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Somaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aliağa FAŞ	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sebat Gençlikspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ankaragücü	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sakaryaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Fethiyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	İnegölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ankara Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Karacabey Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Kırklarelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	24 Erzincanspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Kütahyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	1461 Trabzon FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	İskenderunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	12 Bingölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Yeni Orduspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Serik Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Adana 01 FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.