Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 0.84 for Mardin 1969, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Arnavutköy Belediyespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

74.4% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.84

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win45%

Draw30%

Mardin 1969 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%

Over 2.5 goals33%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–015.7%
1–113.1%
0–013.0%
0–110.9%
2–09.4%

Why the model likes this

Arnavutköy Belediyespor home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mardin 1969 away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arnavutköy Belediyespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 30% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Arnavutköy Belediyespor and 0.84 for Mardin 1969, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 2-0 (W)
2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 1-0 (W)
2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Muş Sport Klübü · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu · 3-0 (W)
2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1461 Trabzon FK · 1-0 (W)

Mardin 1969

2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ümraniyespor · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Eyüpspor · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muş Sport Klübü · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Adana Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Elazığspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ankaraspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Şanlıurfaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kastamonuspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Menemen FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Çorluspor 1947	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Erbaaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Muş Sport Klübü	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Isparta 32 Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Güzide Gebzespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Somaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aliağa FAŞ	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sebat Gençlikspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ankaragücü	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sakaryaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Fethiyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	İnegölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ankara Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Karacabey Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Kırklarelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	24 Erzincanspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Kütahyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	1461 Trabzon FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	İskenderunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	12 Bingölspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Yeni Orduspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Serik Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Adana 01 FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.