Senegal · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2517:00

0 – 0

Sunday, 3 May 2026

GoréeDW

· Analysis updated 12:47 UTC

AS Camberene vs Gorée Prediction, Odds & Statistics

AS Camberene vs Gorée in the Ligue 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • AS Camberene home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates AS Camberene to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for AS Camberene and 1.18 for Gorée, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for AS Camberene or Gorée yet, so these numbers are a Ligue 1 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

AS Camberene win44%
Draw26%
Gorée win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

AS Camberene

  • 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jaraaf · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pikine · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonacos · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Génération Foot · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs La Linguère · 1-1 (D)

Gorée

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Génération Foot211034
    2Jaraaf211024
    3Gorée211024
    4Wally Daan211024
    5HLM211014
    6Guédiawaye211014
    7Diambars210103
    8AJEL202002
    9Stade de Mbour202002
    10DSC2011-11
    11Essamaye2011-11
    12Casa Sport2011-21
    13Pikine2011-31
    14Teungueth000000
    15Ouakam1001-20
    16La Linguère1001-20

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.