Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · ACFF - 513:00
AS Eupen IIWLDLW

4 – 3

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 13:36 UTC

AS Eupen II vs Entité Manageoise Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.77 expected goals for AS Eupen II and 1.59 for Entité Manageoise, a combined total of 4.36. That distribution gives AS Eupen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

AS Eupen II win

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.77 – 1.59

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • AS Eupen II home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Entité Manageoise away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates AS Eupen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 17% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.77 goals for AS Eupen II and 1.59 for Entité Manageoise, a combined 4.36 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

AS Eupen II win62%
Draw17%
Entité Manageoise win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.8%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 1–15.6%

Recent form

AS Eupen II

  • 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Entité Manageoise · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aywaille · 4-1 (W)

Entité Manageoise

  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs La Calamine · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mouscronnois · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs RUS Binche · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen II · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jette9540919
2SG-Tertre-Hautrage9612719
3Stade Mouscronnois9522917
4Crossing Schaerbeek9522717
5Braine9522517
6AS Eupen II9432315
7Huy9423-214
8Ganshoren9414513
9La Calamine9414213
10RUS Binche9333-312
11Stade Verviers9324211
12Acren-Lessines9324211
13Ostiches9252-111
14Richelle United9324-211
15Stockay-Warfusée9234-69
16Entité Manageoise9225-68
17Union Namur9126-145
18Aywaille9018-171

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is AS Eupen II win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.