· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC
AS Eupen II vs Stade Verviers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for AS Eupen II and 2.11 for Stade Verviers, a combined total of 4.37. That distribution gives AS Eupen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.7% probability
Expected goals
2.26 – 2.11
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
AS Eupen II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stade Verviers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AS Eupen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 20% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for AS Eupen II and 2.11 for Stade Verviers, a combined 4.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–26.4%
- 1–16.0%
- 3–25.4%
Recent form
AS Eupen II
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Entité Manageoise · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aywaille · 4-1 (W)
Stade Verviers
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.