AS Eupen vs Sporting Hasselt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.01 expected goals for AS Eupen and 0.91 for Sporting Hasselt, a combined total of 2.91. That distribution gives AS Eupen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

AS Eupen win

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.01 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

AS Eupen home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sporting Hasselt away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AS Eupen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.01 goals for AS Eupen and 0.91 for Sporting Hasselt, a combined 2.91 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

AS Eupen win63%

Draw21%

Sporting Hasselt win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

2–010.9%
1–010.9%
2–19.9%
1–19.9%
3–07.3%

Recent form

AS Eupen

2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RSC Anderlecht II · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Merelbeke · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-13T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)

Sporting Hasselt

2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mandel United · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Seraing United · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs KRC Genk II · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KAA Gent II · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Challenger Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	12	18
2	Dender	7	6	0	1	9	18
3	AS Eupen	6	5	0	1	8	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	2	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	-2	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	5	10
7	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	2	10
8	K. Lierse S.K.	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	KAA Gent II	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	KRC Genk II	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Patro Eisden	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Liège	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Seraing United	7	0	2	5	-7	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is AS Eupen win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.