Stade de la Frontiere · Analysis updated 03:22 UTC
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Union Titus Petange Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for AS Jeunesse Esch and 0.98 for Union Titus Petange, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives AS Jeunesse Esch the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.7% probability
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
AS Jeunesse Esch home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Union Titus Petange away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–111.4%
- 2–08.0%
Recent form
AS Jeunesse Esch
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Etzella Ettelbruck · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bastendorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs US Hostert · 1-1 (D)
Union Titus Petange
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Les Aiglons Dalheim · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Swift Hesperange · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Mondorf-les-bains · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs F91 Dudelange · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 1-1 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2025-12-03T19:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 0-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2025-02-16T14:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 0-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2024-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 0-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2024-05-12T14:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 1-2 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2023-12-02T15:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 0-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2023-04-08T14:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 2-2 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2022-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 0-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2022-03-13T15:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 1-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
- 2021-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · AS Jeunesse Esch 1-0 Union Titus Petange (National Division)
National Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 30 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Atert Bissen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | F91 Dudelange | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | US Hostert | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | US Rumelange | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 8 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -39 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.