· Analysis updated 15:39 UTC
Åsane II vs Austevoll Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Åsane II and 2.53 for Austevoll, a combined total of 4.40. That distribution gives Austevoll the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austevoll win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Åsane II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austevoll away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austevoll to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 29% / 19% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Åsane II and 2.53 for Austevoll, a combined 4.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.2%
- 1–15.8%
- 2–35.8%
Recent form
Åsane II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Førde · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-2 (L)
Austevoll
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gneist · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austevoll win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.