· Analysis updated 06:31 UTC
Åsane II vs Førde Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Åsane II and 1.68 for Førde, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Åsane II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Åsane II win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Åsane II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Førde away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Åsane II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 18% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.58 goals for Åsane II and 1.68 for Førde, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–16.2%
- 3–25.7%
Recent form
Åsane II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Førde · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-2 (L)
Førde
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fana · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalesund · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vard · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Åsane II win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.