· Analysis updated 15:26 UTC
Åsane W vs Grei W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Åsane W and 1.18 for Grei W, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Åsane W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Åsane W win
58.6% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Åsane W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grei W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Åsane W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Åsane W and 1.18 for Grei W, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 3–16.9%
Recent form
Åsane W
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 4-0 (W)
Grei W
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-21T15:00:00.000Z · Åsane W 1-0 Grei W (1. Division Women)
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Åsane W win, at 58.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.