Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1115:00
Åsane WWWDWD

1 – 1

Friday, 4 September 2026

Viking FK WWWLWW

· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

Åsane W vs Viking FK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Åsane W and 1.56 for Viking FK W, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Viking FK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Åsane W home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viking FK W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viking FK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 38% / 24% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Åsane W and 1.56 for Viking FK W, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Åsane W win38%
Draw24%
Viking FK W win39%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 1–06.9%

Recent form

Åsane W

  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 4-0 (W)

Viking FK W

  • 2026-08-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.