· Analysis updated 16:08 UTC
ASC Kara vs AS ZAM Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for ASC Kara and 1.00 for AS ZAM, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives ASC Kara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ASC Kara win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ASC Kara home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ASC Kara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for ASC Kara and 1.00 for AS ZAM, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 3–16.1%
Recent form
ASC Kara
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs ASEC Mimosas · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · H vs AS ZAM · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs ASEC Mimosas · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs AS ZAM · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Renaissance Berkane · 1-3 (L)
AS ZAM
- 2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ASC Kara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs ASC Kara · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ASC Kara win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.