· Analysis updated 15:41 UTC
Askøy vs Åsane II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Askøy and 1.15 for Åsane II, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Askøy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Askøy win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Askøy home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Åsane II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Askøy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for Askøy and 1.15 for Åsane II, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.3%
Recent form
Askøy
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fana · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 3-3 (D)
Åsane II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Førde · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Askøy win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.