· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC
Askøy vs Brann II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Askøy and 1.30 for Brann II, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Askøy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Askøy win
61.2% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Askøy home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brann II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Askøy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Askøy and 1.30 for Brann II, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–26.0%
Recent form
Askøy
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fana · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 3-3 (D)
Brann II
- 2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Austevoll · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Djerv · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Varegg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Askøy · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen · 7-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-01T16:00:00.000Z · Askøy 1-7 Brann II (3. Division - Girone 3)
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Askøy win, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.