Askøy vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Askøy and 0.93 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Askøy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Askøy win

70.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.43 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Askøy home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fyllingsdalen away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Askøy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.43 goals for Askøy and 0.93 for Fyllingsdalen, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Askøy win70%

Draw17%

Fyllingsdalen win13%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

2–010.3%
2–19.5%
1–08.5%
3–08.3%
1–17.9%

Recent form

Askøy

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fana · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 3-3 (D)

Fyllingsdalen

2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 2-6 (L)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-21T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Brann II · 0-7 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Gneist · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · Askøy 1-0 Fyllingsdalen (3. Division - Girone 3)
2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · Askøy 2-1 Fyllingsdalen (3. Division - Girone 3)
2025-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · Askøy 0-2 Fyllingsdalen (3. Division - Girone 4)
2025-07-19T12:00:00.000Z · Askøy 4-1 Fyllingsdalen (3. Division - Girone 4)

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Os	24	18	1	5	41	55
2	Djerv	24	16	5	3	31	53
3	Fana	24	14	2	8	22	44
4	Vard	24	13	5	6	21	44
5	Askøy	24	12	7	5	10	43
6	Brann II	24	10	7	7	11	37
7	Austevoll	24	10	7	7	-6	37
8	Førde	24	9	4	11	-10	31
9	Sogndal II	24	9	3	12	8	30
10	Stord	24	6	9	9	-14	27
11	Varegg	24	6	5	13	-11	23
12	Åsane II	24	5	7	12	-16	22
13	Gneist	24	5	3	16	-31	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	24	1	3	20	-56	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Askøy win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.