Foyka Stadium · Analysis updated 10:13 UTC
Asker vs KFUM II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.26 expected goals for Asker and 1.40 for KFUM II, a combined total of 5.66. That distribution gives Asker the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Asker win
83.9% probability
Expected goals
4.26 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Asker home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KFUM II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Asker to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 9% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.26 goals for Asker and 1.40 for KFUM II, a combined 5.66 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.7%
- 3–16.3%
- 5–15.7%
- 4–04.8%
- 4–24.7%
Recent form
Asker
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Halden · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heming · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga II · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Ready · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-27T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 2-1 (W)
KFUM II
- 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Heming · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ullern · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Konnerud · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Ready · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 64 |
| 2 | Heming | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 47 |
| 3 | Gamle Oslo | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 |
| 4 | Vålerenga II | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 40 |
| 5 | IF Ready | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Bærum | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Union Carl Berner | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | Frigg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | -22 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM II | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | SF Grei | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | -29 | 25 |
| 12 | Ullern | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -19 | 23 |
| 13 | Nordstrand | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -27 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Asker win, at 83.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.