Asteras Tripolis II vs Niki Volos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Asteras Tripolis II and 1.12 for Niki Volos, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Niki Volos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Asteras Tripolis II home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Niki Volos away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Niki Volos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 33% / 30% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Asteras Tripolis II and 1.12 for Niki Volos, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Asteras Tripolis II win33%

Draw30%

Niki Volos win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.4%
0–113.1%
1–011.9%
0–011.7%
1–27.6%

Recent form

Asteras Tripolis II

2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus II · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anagennisi Karditsas · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kallithea · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Pontou · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Panserraikos · 0-1 (L)

Niki Volos

2026-10-19T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ellas Syros · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-03T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Larisa · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	8	7	1	0	11	22
2	Kallithea	8	5	2	1	5	17
3	Panserraikos	8	4	2	2	4	14
4	Panionios	8	4	2	2	1	14
5	Larisa	8	3	4	1	5	13
6	Niki Volos	8	3	2	3	2	11
7	Anagennisi Karditsas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Ellas Syros	8	2	4	2	4	10
9	Panthrakikos	8	2	4	2	1	10
10	Asteras Tripolis II	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Nestos Chrisoupolis	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Apollon Pontou	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	PAOK II	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Olympiakos Piraeus II	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Pyrgos 1968	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Zakynthos	7	0	3	4	-8	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.