· Analysis updated 09:05 UTC
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Asteras Tripolis II and 0.74 for Zakynthos, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Asteras Tripolis II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Asteras Tripolis II win
53.9% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.74
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Asteras Tripolis II home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zakynthos away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Asteras Tripolis II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 27% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Asteras Tripolis II and 0.74 for Zakynthos, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–016.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–011.7%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–18.7%
Recent form
Asteras Tripolis II
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anagennisi Karditsas · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kallithea · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Pontou · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Panserraikos · 0-1 (L)
Zakynthos
- 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Pontou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panionios · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellas Syros · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Larisa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Panionios | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Larisa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Ellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Panthrakikos | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Apollon Pontou | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | PAOK II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Asteras Tripolis II win, at 53.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.